Online citations, reference lists, and bibliographies.

Modeling Irrigation‐based Climate Change Adaptation In Agriculture: Model Development And Evaluation In Northeast China

Masashi Okada, T. Iizumi, G. Sakurai, N. Hanasaki, T. Sakai, K. Okamoto, M. Yokozawa
Published 2015 · Physics

Cite This
Download PDF
Analyze on Scholarcy
Share
Replacing a rainfed cropping system with an irrigated one is widely assumed to be an effective measure for climate change adaptation. However, many agricultural impact studies have not necessarily accounted for the space-time variations in the water availability under changing climate and land use. Moreover, many hydrologic and agricultural assessments of climate change impacts are not fully integrated. To overcome this shortcoming, a tool that can simultaneously simulate the dynamic interactions between crop production and water resources in a watershed is essential. Here we propose the regional production and circulation coupled model (CROVER) by embedding the PRYSBI-2 (Process-based Regional Yield Simulator with Bayesian Inference version 2) large-area crop model into the global water resources model (called H08), and apply this model to the Songhua River watershed in Northeast China. The evaluation reveals that the model's performance in capturing the major characteristics of historical change in surface soil moisture, river discharge, actual crop evapotranspiration, and soybean yield relative to the reference data during the interval 1979–2010 is satisfactory accurate. The simulation experiments using the model demonstrated that subregional irrigation management, such as designating the area to which irrigation is primarily applied, has measurable influences on the regional crop production in a drought year. This finding suggests that reassessing climate change risk in agriculture using this type of modeling is crucial not to overestimate potential of irrigation-based adaptation.
This paper references
10.1016/J.RSE.2011.02.019
Improvements to a MODIS global terrestrial evapotranspiration algorithm
Qiaozhen Mu (2011)
10.1175/1520-0493(1969)097<0739:CATOC>2.3.CO;2
CLIMATE AND THE OCEAN CIRCULATION1
S. Manabe (1969)
10.5194/HESS-18-447-2014
Climate-driven interannual variability of water scarcity in food production potential: a global analysis
M. Kummu (2013)
10.5194/ISPRSANNALS-I-7-315-2012
Fusion of active and passive microwave observations to create an Essential Climate Variable data record on soil moisture
W. Wagner (2012)
10.1088/1748-9326/7/1/014037
How is the impact of climate change on river flow regimes related to the impact on mean annual runoff? A global-scale analysis
P. Döll (2012)
10.1016/S0168-1923(03)00107-2
Changes in agricultural water demands and soil moisture in China over the last half-century and their effects on agricultural production
F. Tao (2003)
10.1623/hysj.48.3.317.45290
Development and testing of the WaterGAP 2 global model of water use and availability
J. Alcamo (2003)
10.1038/srep04978
How much has the increase in atmospheric CO2 directly affected past soybean production?
G. Sakurai (2014)
10.1038/ncomms2296
Recent patterns of crop yield growth and stagnation.
D. Ray (2012)
10.1016/J.RSE.2012.03.014
Trend-preserving blending of passive and active microwave soil moisture retrievals
Y. Liu (2012)
10.1029/2009GB003765
Simulating the effects of climate and agricultural management practices on global crop yield
D. Deryng (2011)
10.1029/2007GB002947
Farming the planet: 2. Geographic distribution of crop areas, yields, physiological types, and net primary production in the year 2000
C. Monfreda (2008)
10.1029/2008GB003435
MIRCA2000—Global monthly irrigated and rainfed crop areas around the year 2000: A new high‐resolution data set for agricultural and hydrological modeling
F. Portmann (2010)
10.1038/NCLIMATE2153
A meta-analysis of crop yield under climate change and adaptation
A. Challinor (2014)
10.1002/2013JD020130
A meteorological forcing data set for global crop modeling: Development, evaluation, and intercomparison
T. Iizumi (2014)
10.1175/2008JHM1067.1
Effects of Precipitation Uncertainty on Discharge Calculations for Main River Basins
H. Biemans (2009)
10.1016/J.JHYDROL.2005.11.011
A reservoir operation scheme for global river routing models
N. Hanasaki (2006)
10.1016/J.AGRFORMET.2008.11.004
Modelling the impacts of weather and climate variability on crop productivity over a large area: A new process-based model development, optimization, and uncertainties analysis
F. Tao (2009)
10.5194/ESD-4-129-2013
Climate change impact on available water resources obtained using multiple global climate and hydrology models
S. Hagemann (2012)
10.5194/HESS-17-3523-2013
Potential and limitations of multidecadal satellite soil moisture observations for selected climate model evaluation studies
A. Loew (2013)
10.1175/2011JCLI3733.1
Soil Moisture Drought in China, 1950–2006
A. Wang (2011)
10.1111/J.1466-8238.2010.00551.X
Crop planting dates: an analysis of global patterns.
W. J. Sacks (2010)
10.1175/JHM-D-10-05034.1
Water-Use Efficiency of the Terrestrial Biosphere: A Model Analysis Focusing on Interactions between the Global Carbon and Water Cycles
A. Ito (2012)
10.1073/pnas.1222474110
Constraints and potentials of future irrigation water availability on agricultural production under climate change
J. Elliott (2013)
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2013.05.092
Future water resources for food production in five South Asian river basins and potential for adaptation--a modeling study.
Hester Biemans (2013)
10.1038/nature09364
The impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in China
S. Piao (2010)
10.1002/JOC.3701
Are droughts becoming more frequent or severe in China based on the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index: 1951–2010?
Meixiu Yu (2014)
10.1111/J.1365-2486.2006.01305.X
Modelling the role of agriculture for the 20th century global terrestrial carbon balance
A. Bondeau (2007)
10.5194/HESS-17-2393-2013
A global water scarcity assessment under Shared Socio-economic Pathways – Part 2: Water availability and scarcity
N. Hanasaki (2012)
10.1111/GEB.12120
Historical changes in global yields: Major cereal and legume crops from 1982 to 2006
Toshichika Iizumi (2014)
Soil and Water Assessment Tool Theoretical Documentation Version 2009
S. L. Neitsch (2011)
Evaporation and environment.
J. Monteith (1965)
10.5194/HESS-12-1007-2008
An integrated model for the assessment of global water resources – Part 1: Model description and input meteorological forcing
N. Hanasaki (2008)



This paper is referenced by
10.1002/2016JD024997
Climatic impacts of the Middle Route of the South‐to‐North Water Transfer Project over the Haihe River basin in North China simulated by a regional climate model
Jing Zou (2016)
10.1029/2017MS001253
Improving Representation of Crop Growth and Yield in the Dynamic Land Ecosystem Model and Its Application to China
Jingting Zhang (2018)
imulation of crop evapotranspiration and crop coefficients with data n weighing lysimeters aseendran
Saseendran S. Anapalli (2016)
10.3390/W8040141
Managing Water and Soils to Achieve Adaptation and Reduce Methane Emissions and Arsenic Contamination in Asian Rice Production
D. Wichelns (2016)
10.3389/fsufs.2020.00084
Seasonal Predictability of Four Major Crop Yields Worldwide by a Hybrid System of Dynamical Climate Prediction and Eco-Physiological Crop-Growth Simulation
Takeshi Doi (2020)
10.1016/j.agwat.2019.105731
Modeling evapotranspiration for irrigation water management in a humid climate
S. Anapalli (2019)
10.19137/semiarida.2018(01).1122
IMPACT OF ENSO (El NIÑO SOUTHERN OSCILLATION) AND SOWING DATE ON SOIL WATER STORAGE EVOLUTION IN CORN
Mendez Mariano Javier (2018)
10.1029/2017EF000763
Varying Benefits of Irrigation Expansion for Crop Production Under a Changing Climate and Competitive Water Use Among Crops
Masashi Okada (2018)
10.1016/J.AGWAT.2019.05.045
Can measured soil hydraulic properties simulate field water dynamics and crop production
Saadi Sattar Shahadha (2019)
10.13031/TRANS.12838
Modeling Evapotranspiration and Crop Growth of Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Corn in the Texas High Plains Using RZWQM
H. Zhang (2018)
10.1016/J.AGRFORMET.2018.07.013
Modelling the crop water-satisfied degree on the grid scale: A CropWRA model and the case study of Hanjiang River Basin, China
Q. Yu (2018)
10.1016/J.RSE.2017.07.001
ESA CCI Soil Moisture for improved Earth system understanding : State-of-the art and future directions
W. Dorigo (2017)
10.1016/J.AGWAT.2016.08.009
Simulation of crop evapotranspiration and crop coefficients with data in weighing lysimeters
S. Anapalli (2016)
Semantic Scholar Logo Some data provided by SemanticScholar